Head to head

Lesotho vs Samoa

If they played today

Lesotho at home

61% / 22% / 17%

Lesotho win / draw / Samoa win

Lesotho–Samoa

1–0 11.6%
2–0 11.0%
1–1 10.4%
2–1 9.9%
3–0 7.0%

Neutral venue

53% / 24% / 23%

Lesotho win / draw / Samoa win

Lesotho–Samoa

1–1 11.4%
1–0 11.1%
2–1 9.7%
2–0 9.4%
0–1 6.7%

Samoa at home

45% / 26% / 29%

Lesotho win / draw / Samoa win

Lesotho–Samoa

1–1 12.1%
1–0 10.4%
2–1 9.1%
0–1 8.1%
2–0 7.9%

Probabilities come from each team's current Elo rating, so they answer “if they met today” rather than predicting a scheduled fixture. See the methodology for how the model works and where it is weakest.

Elo since debut

Side by side

	Lesotho	Samoa
Current Elo	1419	1216
Elo rank	143rd	179th
Peak Elo	1509 (1970)	1447 (1979)
Matches played	296	71
All-time record	54W 94D 148L	22W 4D 45L
Goals for	230	99
Goals against	466	249
Biggest win	5–0 vs Eswatini · 2006-04-14 · Friendly	10–0 vs American Samoa · 2023-11-20 · Pacific Games
Biggest loss	0–7 vs Morocco · 2024-11-18 · African Cup of Nations qualification	0–13 vs Tahiti · 1981-07-08 · South Pacific Mini Games
Neither team has qualified for a World Cup

When they've met

Lesotho and Samoa have never played each other.