Head to head

Lesotho vs Mexico

If they played today

Lesotho at home

9% / 17% / 75%

Lesotho win / draw / Mexico win

Lesotho–Mexico

0–2 14.0%
0–1 12.2%
0–3 10.6%
1–2 9.0%
1–1 7.9%

Neutral venue

6% / 14% / 81%

Lesotho win / draw / Mexico win

Lesotho–Mexico

0–2 15.5%
0–3 12.8%
0–1 12.4%
0–4 8.0%
1–2 7.9%

Mexico at home

3% / 11% / 86%

Lesotho win / draw / Mexico win

Lesotho–Mexico

0–2 16.9%
0–3 15.1%
0–1 12.6%
0–4 10.1%
1–2 6.3%

Probabilities come from each team's current Elo rating, so they answer “if they met today” rather than predicting a scheduled fixture. See the methodology for how the model works and where it is weakest.

Elo since debut

Side by side

	Lesotho	Mexico
Current Elo	1419	2012
Elo rank	143rd	12th
Peak Elo	1509 (1970)	2044 (2026)
Matches played	296	1008
All-time record	54W 94D 148L	518W 231D 259L
Goals for	230	1777
Goals against	466	1057
Biggest win	5–0 vs Eswatini · 2006-04-14 · Friendly	11–0 vs Saint Vincent and the Grenadines · 1992-12-06 · FIFA World Cup qualification
Biggest loss	0–7 vs Morocco · 2024-11-18 · African Cup of Nations qualification	0–8 vs England · 1961-05-10 · Friendly
World Cups won	0	0
Expected World Cups	0.00	0.64

When they've met

Lesotho and Mexico have never played each other.