Head to head

Lesotho vs Mali

If they played today

Lesotho at home

24% / 24% / 52%

Lesotho win / draw / Mali win

Lesotho–Mali

1–1 11.5%
0–1 11.0%
1–2 9.7%
0–2 9.2%
1–0 6.8%

Neutral venue

18% / 22% / 60%

Lesotho win / draw / Mali win

Lesotho–Mali

0–1 11.5%
0–2 10.8%
1–1 10.5%
1–2 9.9%
0–3 6.8%

Mali at home

13% / 20% / 68%

Lesotho win / draw / Mali win

Lesotho–Mali

0–2 12.4%
0–1 11.9%
1–2 9.7%
1–1 9.3%
0–3 8.6%

Probabilities come from each team's current Elo rating, so they answer “if they met today” rather than predicting a scheduled fixture. See the methodology for how the model works and where it is weakest.

Elo since debut

Side by side

	Lesotho	Mali
Current Elo	1419	1709
Elo rank	143rd	60th
Peak Elo	1509 (1970)	1773 (2024)
Matches played	296	569
All-time record	54W 94D 148L	232W 151D 186L
Goals for	230	746
Goals against	466	626
Biggest win	5–0 vs Eswatini · 2006-04-14 · Friendly	6–0 vs Eswatini · 2024-11-19 · African Cup of Nations qualification
Biggest loss	0–7 vs Morocco · 2024-11-18 · African Cup of Nations qualification	0–7 vs Algeria · 1988-11-13 · Friendly
Neither team has qualified for a World Cup
African Cup of Nations won	0	0
Expected African Cup of Nations	0.00	0.67

When they've met

Lesotho and Mali have never played each other.