Head to head

Lebanon vs Tajikistan

If they played today

Lebanon at home

45% / 26% / 29%

Lebanon win / draw / Tajikistan win

Lebanon–Tajikistan

1–1 12.1%
1–0 10.5%
2–1 9.2%
0–1 8.0%
2–0 7.9%

Neutral venue

37% / 26% / 37%

Lebanon win / draw / Tajikistan win

Lebanon–Tajikistan

1–1 12.5%
1–0 9.7%
0–1 9.6%
2–1 8.2%
1–2 8.1%

Tajikistan at home

30% / 26% / 45%

Lebanon win / draw / Tajikistan win

Lebanon–Tajikistan

1–1 12.2%
0–1 10.4%
1–2 9.1%
1–0 8.2%
0–2 7.8%

Probabilities come from each team's current Elo rating, so they answer “if they met today” rather than predicting a scheduled fixture. See the methodology for how the model works and where it is weakest.

Elo since debut

Side by side

	Lebanon	Tajikistan
Current Elo	1442	1438
Elo rank	134th	137th
Peak Elo	1596 (2018)	1569 (1997)
Matches played	333	201
All-time record	93W 92D 148L	78W 43D 80L
Goals for	385	299
Goals against	469	278
Biggest win	8–1 vs Pakistan · 2001-05-26 · FIFA World Cup qualification	16–0 vs Guam · 2000-11-26 · FIFA World Cup qualification
Biggest loss	1–7 vs Mexico · 1978-09-10 · Korea Cup	0–8 vs Japan · 2011-10-11 · FIFA World Cup qualification
Neither team has qualified for a World Cup
AFC Asian Cups won	0	0
Expected AFC Asian Cups	0.05	<0.01

When they've met

Meetings

Lebanon 1W 0D 1L

Goals

2–2

Lebanon first

First meeting

1–2

Tajikistan won · 2024-01-22 · AFC Asian Cup

Most recent

1–0

Lebanon won · 2024-09-04 · Merdeka Tournament

Lebanon's biggest win

1–0

2024-09-04 · Merdeka Tournament

Tajikistan's biggest win

2–1

2024-01-22 · AFC Asian Cup

Current run

Won the last meeting

Lebanon · since 2024-09-04

2 meetings

Date	Score	Venue	Competition
2024-09-04	1–0	Neutral	Merdeka Tournament
2024-01-22	1–2	Neutral	AFC Asian Cup