Head to head

Lebanon vs Samoa

If they played today

Lebanon at home

63% / 21% / 16%

Lebanon win / draw / Samoa win

Lebanon–Samoa

1–0 11.7%
2–0 11.4%
1–1 10.1%
2–1 9.9%
3–0 7.4%

Neutral venue

55% / 24% / 21%

Lebanon win / draw / Samoa win

Lebanon–Samoa

1–0 11.2%
1–1 11.2%
2–0 9.8%
2–1 9.8%
0–0 6.4%

Samoa at home

47% / 25% / 28%

Lebanon win / draw / Samoa win

Lebanon–Samoa

1–1 12.0%
1–0 10.6%
2–1 9.3%
2–0 8.2%
0–1 7.7%

Probabilities come from each team's current Elo rating, so they answer “if they met today” rather than predicting a scheduled fixture. See the methodology for how the model works and where it is weakest.

Elo since debut

Side by side

	Lebanon	Samoa
Current Elo	1442	1216
Elo rank	134th	179th
Peak Elo	1596 (2018)	1447 (1979)
Matches played	333	71
All-time record	93W 92D 148L	22W 4D 45L
Goals for	385	99
Goals against	469	249
Biggest win	8–1 vs Pakistan · 2001-05-26 · FIFA World Cup qualification	10–0 vs American Samoa · 2023-11-20 · Pacific Games
Biggest loss	1–7 vs Mexico · 1978-09-10 · Korea Cup	0–13 vs Tahiti · 1981-07-08 · South Pacific Mini Games
Neither team has qualified for a World Cup

When they've met

Lebanon and Samoa have never played each other.