Head to head

Latvia vs Tonga

If they played today

Latvia at home

67% / 20% / 13%

Latvia win / draw / Tonga win

Latvia–Tonga

2–0 12.4%
1–0 11.9%
2–1 9.7%
1–1 9.3%
3–0 8.6%

Neutral venue

60% / 22% / 18%

Latvia win / draw / Tonga win

Latvia–Tonga

1–0 11.5%
2–0 10.8%
1–1 10.5%
2–1 9.9%
3–0 6.8%

Tonga at home

52% / 24% / 24%

Latvia win / draw / Tonga win

Latvia–Tonga

1–1 11.5%
1–0 11.0%
2–1 9.7%
2–0 9.2%
0–1 6.9%

Probabilities come from each team's current Elo rating, so they answer “if they met today” rather than predicting a scheduled fixture. See the methodology for how the model works and where it is weakest.

Elo since debut

Side by side

	Latvia	Tonga
Current Elo	1345	1056
Elo rank	160th	198th
Peak Elo	1594 (2009)	1478 (1979)
Matches played	461	68
All-time record	128W 111D 222L	16W 6D 46L
Goals for	541	81
Goals against	764	253
Biggest win	8–1 vs Estonia · 1942-08-18 · Friendly	7–0 vs Micronesia · 2003-07-05 · South Pacific Games
Biggest loss	0–12 vs Sweden · 1927-05-29 · Friendly	0–22 vs Australia · 2001-04-09 · FIFA World Cup qualification
Neither team has qualified for a World Cup

When they've met

Latvia and Tonga have never played each other.