Head to head

Latvia vs Samoa

If they played today

Latvia at home

55% / 23% / 21%

Latvia win / draw / Samoa win

Latvia–Samoa

1–0 11.2%
1–1 11.1%
2–0 9.9%
2–1 9.8%
0–0 6.4%

Neutral venue

47% / 25% / 28%

Latvia win / draw / Samoa win

Latvia–Samoa

1–1 12.0%
1–0 10.6%
2–1 9.3%
2–0 8.3%
0–1 7.7%

Samoa at home

39% / 26% / 35%

Latvia win / draw / Samoa win

Latvia–Samoa

1–1 12.5%
1–0 9.9%
0–1 9.2%
2–1 8.5%
1–2 7.9%

Probabilities come from each team's current Elo rating, so they answer “if they met today” rather than predicting a scheduled fixture. See the methodology for how the model works and where it is weakest.

Elo since debut

Side by side

	Latvia	Samoa
Current Elo	1345	1216
Elo rank	160th	179th
Peak Elo	1594 (2009)	1447 (1979)
Matches played	461	71
All-time record	128W 111D 222L	22W 4D 45L
Goals for	541	99
Goals against	764	249
Biggest win	8–1 vs Estonia · 1942-08-18 · Friendly	10–0 vs American Samoa · 2023-11-20 · Pacific Games
Biggest loss	0–12 vs Sweden · 1927-05-29 · Friendly	0–13 vs Tahiti · 1981-07-08 · South Pacific Mini Games
Neither team has qualified for a World Cup

When they've met

Latvia and Samoa have never played each other.