Head to head

Kenya vs United States Virgin Islands

If they played today

Kenya at home

80% / 14% / 6%

Kenya win / draw / United States Virgin Islands win

Kenya–United States Virgin Islands

2–0 15.3%
3–0 12.6%
1–0 12.4%
2–1 8.0%
4–0 7.7%

Neutral venue

74% / 17% / 9%

Kenya win / draw / United States Virgin Islands win

Kenya–United States Virgin Islands

2–0 13.8%
1–0 12.2%
3–0 10.4%
2–1 9.1%
1–1 8.0%

United States Virgin Islands at home

67% / 20% / 13%

Kenya win / draw / United States Virgin Islands win

Kenya–United States Virgin Islands

2–0 12.3%
1–0 11.9%
2–1 9.7%
1–1 9.4%
3–0 8.4%

Probabilities come from each team's current Elo rating, so they answer “if they met today” rather than predicting a scheduled fixture. See the methodology for how the model works and where it is weakest.

Elo since debut

Side by side

	Kenya	United States Virgin Islands
Current Elo	1472	990
Elo rank	123rd	206th
Peak Elo	1644 (1961)	1507 (1999)
Matches played	706	78
All-time record	268W 176D 262L	10W 12D 56L
Goals for	978	54
Goals against	958	295
Biggest win	10–0 vs Zanzibar · 1961-10-04 · Friendly	4–0 vs Marshall Islands · 2025-08-14 · Outrigger Challenge Cup
Biggest loss	1–13 vs Uganda · 1932-08-25 · Friendly	1–14 vs Saint Lucia · 2001-04-14 · CFU Caribbean Cup qualification
Neither team has qualified for a World Cup

When they've met

Kenya and United States Virgin Islands have never played each other.