Head to head

Kenya vs Tonga

If they played today

Kenya at home

76% / 16% / 8%

Kenya win / draw / Tonga win

Kenya–Tonga

2–0 14.3%
1–0 12.3%
3–0 11.1%
2–1 8.8%
1–1 7.5%

Neutral venue

69% / 19% / 12%

Kenya win / draw / Tonga win

Kenya–Tonga

2–0 12.8%
1–0 12.0%
2–1 9.5%
3–0 9.1%
1–1 8.9%

Tonga at home

62% / 21% / 16%

Kenya win / draw / Tonga win

Kenya–Tonga

1–0 11.6%
2–0 11.2%
1–1 10.2%
2–1 9.9%
3–0 7.2%

Probabilities come from each team's current Elo rating, so they answer “if they met today” rather than predicting a scheduled fixture. See the methodology for how the model works and where it is weakest.

Elo since debut

Side by side

	Kenya	Tonga
Current Elo	1472	1056
Elo rank	123rd	198th
Peak Elo	1644 (1961)	1478 (1979)
Matches played	706	68
All-time record	268W 176D 262L	16W 6D 46L
Goals for	978	81
Goals against	958	253
Biggest win	10–0 vs Zanzibar · 1961-10-04 · Friendly	7–0 vs Micronesia · 2003-07-05 · South Pacific Games
Biggest loss	1–13 vs Uganda · 1932-08-25 · Friendly	0–22 vs Australia · 2001-04-09 · FIFA World Cup qualification
Neither team has qualified for a World Cup

When they've met

Kenya and Tonga have never played each other.