Head to head

Kenya vs Samoa

If they played today

Kenya at home

65% / 20% / 14%

Kenya win / draw / Samoa win

Kenya–Samoa

2–0 11.9%
1–0 11.8%
2–1 9.8%
1–1 9.7%
3–0 8.0%

Neutral venue

57% / 23% / 20%

Kenya win / draw / Samoa win

Kenya–Samoa

1–0 11.3%
1–1 10.9%
2–0 10.3%
2–1 9.9%
0–0 6.3%

Samoa at home

49% / 25% / 26%

Kenya win / draw / Samoa win

Kenya–Samoa

1–1 11.8%
1–0 10.8%
2–1 9.5%
2–0 8.7%
0–1 7.3%

Probabilities come from each team's current Elo rating, so they answer “if they met today” rather than predicting a scheduled fixture. See the methodology for how the model works and where it is weakest.

Elo since debut

Side by side

	Kenya	Samoa
Current Elo	1472	1216
Elo rank	123rd	179th
Peak Elo	1644 (1961)	1447 (1979)
Matches played	706	71
All-time record	268W 176D 262L	22W 4D 45L
Goals for	978	99
Goals against	958	249
Biggest win	10–0 vs Zanzibar · 1961-10-04 · Friendly	10–0 vs American Samoa · 2023-11-20 · Pacific Games
Biggest loss	1–13 vs Uganda · 1932-08-25 · Friendly	0–13 vs Tahiti · 1981-07-08 · South Pacific Mini Games
Neither team has qualified for a World Cup

When they've met

Kenya and Samoa have never played each other.