Head to head

Kenya vs Nigeria

If they played today

Kenya at home

17% / 22% / 62%

Kenya win / draw / Nigeria win

Kenya–Nigeria

0–1 11.6%
0–2 11.1%
1–1 10.3%
1–2 9.9%
0–3 7.1%

Neutral venue

12% / 19% / 69%

Kenya win / draw / Nigeria win

Kenya–Nigeria

0–2 12.7%
0–1 12.0%
1–2 9.6%
1–1 9.0%
0–3 9.0%

Nigeria at home

8% / 16% / 76%

Kenya win / draw / Nigeria win

Kenya–Nigeria

0–2 14.2%
0–1 12.3%
0–3 11.0%
1–2 8.8%
1–1 7.6%

Probabilities come from each team's current Elo rating, so they answer “if they met today” rather than predicting a scheduled fixture. See the methodology for how the model works and where it is weakest.

Elo since debut

Side by side

	Kenya	Nigeria
Current Elo	1472	1883
Elo rank	123rd	26th
Peak Elo	1644 (1961)	1896 (2006)
Matches played	706	661
All-time record	268W 176D 262L	311W 192D 158L
Goals for	978	1008
Goals against	958	662
Biggest win	10–0 vs Zanzibar · 1961-10-04 · Friendly	10–0 vs São Tomé and Príncipe · 2022-06-13 · African Cup of Nations qualification
Biggest loss	1–13 vs Uganda · 1932-08-25 · Friendly	0–7 vs Ghana · 1955-10-30 · Friendly
World Cups won	0	0
Expected World Cups	0.00	0.08
African Cup of Nations won	0	3
Expected African Cup of Nations	0.20	2.40

When they've met

Meetings

Kenya 0W 3D 13L

Goals

9–36

Kenya first

First meeting

1–2

Nigeria won · 1968-05-08 · Friendly

Most recent

0–1

Nigeria won · 2013-06-05 · FIFA World Cup qualification

Kenya's biggest win

—

Never beaten Nigeria

Nigeria's biggest win

3–0

2011-03-29 · Friendly

Most common result

0–3

Kenya first · 6 times, last 2011-03-29

Current run

Unbeaten in 16

Nigeria · since 1968-05-08

16 meetings

Date	Score	Venue	Competition
2013-06-05	0–1	Kenya home	FIFA World Cup qualification
2013-03-23	1–1	Nigeria home	FIFA World Cup qualification
2011-03-29	0–3	Nigeria home	Friendly
2009-11-14	2–3	Kenya home	FIFA World Cup qualification
2009-06-07	0–3	Nigeria home	FIFA World Cup qualification
2007-05-27	0–1	Kenya home	Friendly
2002-05-04	0–3	Nigeria home	Friendly
1997-06-07	0–3	Nigeria home	FIFA World Cup qualification
1997-01-12	1–1	Kenya home	FIFA World Cup qualification
1992-01-14	1–2	Neutral	African Cup of Nations
1988-03-14	0–3	Neutral	African Cup of Nations
1985-04-20	1–3	Nigeria home	FIFA World Cup qualification
1985-04-06	0–3	Kenya home	FIFA World Cup qualification
1981-08-03	1–3	Kenya home	Friendly
1976-02-08	1–1	Kenya home	Friendly
1968-05-08	1–2	Kenya home	Friendly