Head to head

Kenya vs Mexico

If they played today

Kenya at home

11% / 18% / 71%

Kenya win / draw / Mexico win

Kenya–Mexico

0–2 13.2%
0–1 12.1%
0–3 9.6%
1–2 9.4%
1–1 8.6%

Neutral venue

7% / 15% / 78%

Kenya win / draw / Mexico win

Kenya–Mexico

0–2 14.7%
0–1 12.3%
0–3 11.6%
1–2 8.5%
1–1 7.2%

Mexico at home

4% / 12% / 83%

Kenya win / draw / Mexico win

Kenya–Mexico

0–2 16.1%
0–3 13.9%
0–1 12.5%
0–4 8.9%
1–2 7.2%

Probabilities come from each team's current Elo rating, so they answer “if they met today” rather than predicting a scheduled fixture. See the methodology for how the model works and where it is weakest.

Elo since debut

Side by side

	Kenya	Mexico
Current Elo	1472	2012
Elo rank	123rd	12th
Peak Elo	1644 (1961)	2044 (2026)
Matches played	706	1008
All-time record	268W 176D 262L	518W 231D 259L
Goals for	978	1777
Goals against	958	1057
Biggest win	10–0 vs Zanzibar · 1961-10-04 · Friendly	11–0 vs Saint Vincent and the Grenadines · 1992-12-06 · FIFA World Cup qualification
Biggest loss	1–13 vs Uganda · 1932-08-25 · Friendly	0–8 vs England · 1961-05-10 · Friendly
World Cups won	0	0
Expected World Cups	0.00	0.64

When they've met

Kenya and Mexico have never played each other.