Head to head

Kenya vs Mali

If they played today

Kenya at home

27% / 25% / 48%

Kenya win / draw / Mali win

Kenya–Mali

1–1 11.9%
0–1 10.7%
1–2 9.4%
0–2 8.4%
1–0 7.6%

Neutral venue

21% / 23% / 56%

Kenya win / draw / Mali win

Kenya–Mali

0–1 11.3%
1–1 11.1%
0–2 10.0%
1–2 9.8%
0–0 6.3%

Mali at home

15% / 21% / 64%

Kenya win / draw / Mali win

Kenya–Mali

0–1 11.7%
0–2 11.6%
1–1 10.0%
1–2 9.8%
0–3 7.6%

Probabilities come from each team's current Elo rating, so they answer “if they met today” rather than predicting a scheduled fixture. See the methodology for how the model works and where it is weakest.

Elo since debut

Side by side

	Kenya	Mali
Current Elo	1472	1709
Elo rank	123rd	60th
Peak Elo	1644 (1961)	1773 (2024)
Matches played	706	569
All-time record	268W 176D 262L	232W 151D 186L
Goals for	978	746
Goals against	958	626
Biggest win	10–0 vs Zanzibar · 1961-10-04 · Friendly	6–0 vs Eswatini · 2024-11-19 · African Cup of Nations qualification
Biggest loss	1–13 vs Uganda · 1932-08-25 · Friendly	0–7 vs Algeria · 1988-11-13 · Friendly
Neither team has qualified for a World Cup
African Cup of Nations won	0	0
Expected African Cup of Nations	0.20	0.67

When they've met

Meetings

Kenya 0W 1D 3L

Goals

2–10

Kenya first

First meeting

1–1

Drawn · 1972-02-26 · African Cup of Nations

Most recent

0–1

Mali won · 2021-10-10 · FIFA World Cup qualification

Kenya's biggest win

—

Never beaten Mali

Mali's biggest win

5–0

2021-10-07 · FIFA World Cup qualification

Current run

Unbeaten in 4

Mali · since 1972-02-26

4 meetings

Date	Score	Venue	Competition
2021-10-10	0–1	Kenya home	FIFA World Cup qualification
2021-10-07	0–5	Neutral	FIFA World Cup qualification
2004-01-26	1–3	Neutral	African Cup of Nations
1972-02-26	1–1	Neutral	African Cup of Nations