Head to head

Kazakhstan vs Samoa

If they played today

Kazakhstan at home

68% / 19% / 13%

Kazakhstan win / draw / Samoa win

Kazakhstan–Samoa

2–0 12.5%
1–0 11.9%
2–1 9.6%
1–1 9.2%
3–0 8.7%

Neutral venue

61% / 22% / 17%

Kazakhstan win / draw / Samoa win

Kazakhstan–Samoa

1–0 11.5%
2–0 10.9%
1–1 10.4%
2–1 9.9%
3–0 6.9%

Samoa at home

53% / 24% / 23%

Kazakhstan win / draw / Samoa win

Kazakhstan–Samoa

1–1 11.4%
1–0 11.0%
2–1 9.7%
2–0 9.3%
0–1 6.8%

Probabilities come from each team's current Elo rating, so they answer “if they met today” rather than predicting a scheduled fixture. See the methodology for how the model works and where it is weakest.

Elo since debut

Side by side

	Kazakhstan	Samoa
Current Elo	1513	1216
Elo rank	106th	179th
Peak Elo	1621 (1997)	1447 (1979)
Matches played	269	71
All-time record	71W 60D 138L	22W 4D 45L
Goals for	309	99
Goals against	444	249
Biggest win	20–1 vs Guam · 1997-05-13 · East Asian Games	10–0 vs American Samoa · 2023-11-20 · Pacific Games
Biggest loss	0–8 vs France · 2021-11-13 · FIFA World Cup qualification	0–13 vs Tahiti · 1981-07-08 · South Pacific Mini Games
Neither team has qualified for a World Cup

When they've met

Kazakhstan and Samoa have never played each other.