Head to head

Japan vs Zambia

If they played today

Japan at home

76% / 16% / 8%

Japan win / draw / Zambia win

Japan–Zambia

2–0 14.4%
1–0 12.3%
3–0 11.3%
2–1 8.7%
1–1 7.4%

Neutral venue

70% / 19% / 12%

Japan win / draw / Zambia win

Japan–Zambia

2–0 12.9%
1–0 12.0%
2–1 9.5%
3–0 9.2%
1–1 8.9%

Zambia at home

63% / 21% / 16%

Japan win / draw / Zambia win

Japan–Zambia

1–0 11.6%
2–0 11.3%
1–1 10.1%
2–1 9.9%
3–0 7.3%

Probabilities come from each team's current Elo rating, so they answer “if they met today” rather than predicting a scheduled fixture. See the methodology for how the model works and where it is weakest.

Elo since debut

Side by side

	Japan	Zambia
Current Elo	1973	1551
Elo rank	15th	94th
Peak Elo	2012 (2026)	1799 (1994)
Matches played	794	793
All-time record	391W 167D 236L	358W 203D 232L
Goals for	1451	1234
Goals against	915	851
Biggest win	14–0 vs Mongolia · 2021-03-30 · FIFA World Cup qualification	11–2 vs Eswatini · 1978-02-05 · Friendly
Biggest loss	2–15 vs Philippines · 1917-05-10 · Far Eastern Championship Games	1–10 vs DR Congo · 1969-11-22 · Friendly
World Cups won	0	0
Expected World Cups	0.16	0.00

When they've met

Meetings

Japan 1W 0D 0L

Goals

4–3

Japan first

First meeting

4–3

Japan won · 2014-06-06 · Friendly

Most recent

4–3

Japan won · 2014-06-06 · Friendly

1 meeting

Date	Score	Venue	Competition
2014-06-06	4–3	Neutral	Friendly