Head to head

Japan vs Tonga

If they played today

Japan at home

96% / 4% / 0%

Japan win / draw / Tonga win

Japan–Tonga

3–0 20.9%
2–0 18.8%
4–0 17.5%
5–0 11.6%
1–0 11.3%

Neutral venue

95% / 5% / 0%

Japan win / draw / Tonga win

Japan–Tonga

3–0 20.7%
2–0 19.8%
4–0 16.2%
1–0 12.6%
5–0 10.2%

Tonga at home

91% / 7% / 1%

Japan win / draw / Tonga win

Japan–Tonga

2–0 18.5%
3–0 18.1%
4–0 13.3%
1–0 12.6%
5–0 7.8%

Probabilities come from each team's current Elo rating, so they answer “if they met today” rather than predicting a scheduled fixture. See the methodology for how the model works and where it is weakest.

Elo since debut

Side by side

	Japan	Tonga
Current Elo	1973	1056
Elo rank	15th	198th
Peak Elo	2012 (2026)	1478 (1979)
Matches played	794	68
All-time record	391W 167D 236L	16W 6D 46L
Goals for	1451	81
Goals against	915	253
Biggest win	14–0 vs Mongolia · 2021-03-30 · FIFA World Cup qualification	7–0 vs Micronesia · 2003-07-05 · South Pacific Games
Biggest loss	2–15 vs Philippines · 1917-05-10 · Far Eastern Championship Games	0–22 vs Australia · 2001-04-09 · FIFA World Cup qualification
World Cups won	0	0
Expected World Cups	0.16	0.00

When they've met

Japan and Tonga have never played each other.