Head to head

Japan vs Tajikistan

If they played today

Japan at home

83% / 12% / 5%

Japan win / draw / Tajikistan win

Japan–Tajikistan

2–0 16.1%
3–0 13.8%
1–0 12.5%
4–0 8.8%
2–1 7.3%

Neutral venue

77% / 15% / 7%

Japan win / draw / Tajikistan win

Japan–Tajikistan

2–0 14.6%
1–0 12.3%
3–0 11.5%
2–1 8.6%
1–1 7.2%

Tajikistan at home

71% / 18% / 11%

Japan win / draw / Tajikistan win

Japan–Tajikistan

2–0 13.1%
1–0 12.1%
3–0 9.5%
2–1 9.4%
1–1 8.7%

Probabilities come from each team's current Elo rating, so they answer “if they met today” rather than predicting a scheduled fixture. See the methodology for how the model works and where it is weakest.

Elo since debut

Side by side

	Japan	Tajikistan
Current Elo	1973	1438
Elo rank	15th	136th
Peak Elo	2012 (2026)	1569 (1997)
Matches played	794	201
All-time record	391W 167D 236L	78W 43D 80L
Goals for	1451	299
Goals against	915	278
Biggest win	14–0 vs Mongolia · 2021-03-30 · FIFA World Cup qualification	16–0 vs Guam · 2000-11-26 · FIFA World Cup qualification
Biggest loss	2–15 vs Philippines · 1917-05-10 · Far Eastern Championship Games	0–8 vs Japan · 2011-10-11 · FIFA World Cup qualification
World Cups won	0	0
Expected World Cups	0.16	0.00
AFC Asian Cups won	4	0
Expected AFC Asian Cups	1.47	<0.01

When they've met

Meetings

Japan 4W 0D 0L

Goals

19–1

Japan first

First meeting

8–0

Japan won · 2011-10-11 · FIFA World Cup qualification

Most recent

4–1

Japan won · 2021-06-07 · FIFA World Cup qualification

Japan's biggest win

8–0

2011-10-11 · FIFA World Cup qualification

Tajikistan's biggest win

—

Never beaten Japan

Current run

Won last 4

Japan · since 2011-10-11

4 meetings

Date	Score	Venue	Competition
2021-06-07	4–1	Japan home	FIFA World Cup qualification
2019-10-15	3–0	Tajikistan home	FIFA World Cup qualification
2011-11-11	4–0	Tajikistan home	FIFA World Cup qualification
2011-10-11	8–0	Japan home	FIFA World Cup qualification