Head to head

Japan vs Tahiti

If they played today

Japan at home

79% / 14% / 6%

Japan win / draw / Tahiti win

Japan–Tahiti

2–0 15.1%
1–0 12.4%
3–0 12.2%
2–1 8.2%
4–0 7.4%

Neutral venue

73% / 17% / 10%

Japan win / draw / Tahiti win

Japan–Tahiti

2–0 13.6%
1–0 12.2%
3–0 10.1%
2–1 9.2%
1–1 8.2%

Tahiti at home

66% / 20% / 14%

Japan win / draw / Tahiti win

Japan–Tahiti

2–0 12.0%
1–0 11.8%
2–1 9.8%
1–1 9.6%
3–0 8.2%

Probabilities come from each team's current Elo rating, so they answer “if they met today” rather than predicting a scheduled fixture. See the methodology for how the model works and where it is weakest.

Elo since debut

Side by side

	Japan	Tahiti
Current Elo	1973	1506
Elo rank	15th	109th
Peak Elo	2012 (2026)	1856 (1996)
Matches played	794	242
All-time record	391W 167D 236L	131W 31D 80L
Goals for	1451	657
Goals against	915	371
Biggest win	14–0 vs Mongolia · 2021-03-30 · FIFA World Cup qualification	30–0 vs Cook Islands · 1971-09-13 · South Pacific Games
Biggest loss	2–15 vs Philippines · 1917-05-10 · Far Eastern Championship Games	0–10 vs Spain · 2013-06-20 · Confederations Cup
World Cups won	0	0
Expected World Cups	0.16	0.00

When they've met

Japan and Tahiti have never played each other.