Head to head

Japan vs Sweden

If they played today

Japan at home

59% / 22% / 19%

Japan win / draw / Sweden win

Japan–Sweden

1–0 11.4%
1–1 10.7%
2–0 10.6%
2–1 9.9%
3–0 6.5%

Neutral venue

51% / 24% / 24%

Japan win / draw / Sweden win

Japan–Sweden

1–1 11.6%
1–0 10.9%
2–1 9.6%
2–0 9.0%
0–1 7.0%

Sweden at home

43% / 26% / 31%

Japan win / draw / Sweden win

Japan–Sweden

1–1 12.3%
1–0 10.3%
2–1 8.9%
0–1 8.5%
2–0 7.4%

Probabilities come from each team's current Elo rating, so they answer “if they met today” rather than predicting a scheduled fixture. See the methodology for how the model works and where it is weakest.

Elo since debut

Side by side

	Japan	Sweden
Current Elo	1973	1797
Elo rank	15th	41st
Peak Elo	2012 (2026)	1955 (2018)
Matches played	794	1105
All-time record	391W 167D 236L	542W 234D 329L
Goals for	1451	2178
Goals against	915	1431
Biggest win	14–0 vs Mongolia · 2021-03-30 · FIFA World Cup qualification	12–0 vs Latvia · 1927-05-29 · Friendly
Biggest loss	2–15 vs Philippines · 1917-05-10 · Far Eastern Championship Games	0–10 vs Denmark · 1913-10-05 · Friendly
World Cups won	0	0
Expected World Cups	0.16	0.52

When they've met

Meetings

Japan 0W 4D 1L

Goals

5–6

Japan first

First meeting

2–2

Drawn · 1995-06-10 · Friendly

Most recent

1–1

Drawn · 2026-06-25 · FIFA World Cup

Japan's biggest win

—

Never beaten Sweden

Sweden's biggest win

1–0

1997-02-13 · King's Cup

Most common result

1–1

Japan first · 3 times, last 2026-06-25

Current run

Unbeaten in 5

Sweden · since 1995-06-10

5 meetings

Date	Score	Venue	Competition
2026-06-25	1–1	Neutral	FIFA World Cup
2002-05-25	1–1	Japan home	Friendly
1997-02-13	0–1	Neutral	King's Cup
1996-02-22	1–1	Neutral	Lunar New Year Cup
1995-06-10	2–2	Neutral	Friendly