Head to head

Japan vs Samoa

If they played today

Japan at home

93% / 6% / 1%

Japan win / draw / Samoa win

Japan–Samoa

3–0 19.1%
2–0 19.1%
4–0 14.4%
1–0 12.6%
5–0 8.7%

Neutral venue

89% / 9% / 2%

Japan win / draw / Samoa win

Japan–Samoa

2–0 17.8%
3–0 16.7%
1–0 12.6%
4–0 11.7%
5–0 6.6%

Samoa at home

84% / 12% / 4%

Japan win / draw / Samoa win

Japan–Samoa

2–0 16.4%
3–0 14.3%
1–0 12.5%
4–0 9.3%
2–1 6.9%

Probabilities come from each team's current Elo rating, so they answer “if they met today” rather than predicting a scheduled fixture. See the methodology for how the model works and where it is weakest.

Elo since debut

Side by side

	Japan	Samoa
Current Elo	1973	1216
Elo rank	15th	179th
Peak Elo	2012 (2026)	1447 (1979)
Matches played	794	71
All-time record	391W 167D 236L	22W 4D 45L
Goals for	1451	99
Goals against	915	249
Biggest win	14–0 vs Mongolia · 2021-03-30 · FIFA World Cup qualification	10–0 vs American Samoa · 2023-11-20 · Pacific Games
Biggest loss	2–15 vs Philippines · 1917-05-10 · Far Eastern Championship Games	0–13 vs Tahiti · 1981-07-08 · South Pacific Mini Games
World Cups won	0	0
Expected World Cups	0.16	0.00

When they've met

Japan and Samoa have never played each other.