Head to head

Japan vs Rwanda

If they played today

Japan at home

82% / 13% / 5%

Japan win / draw / Rwanda win

Japan–Rwanda

2–0 15.9%
3–0 13.5%
1–0 12.5%
4–0 8.6%
2–1 7.4%

Neutral venue

77% / 16% / 8%

Japan win / draw / Rwanda win

Japan–Rwanda

2–0 14.5%
1–0 12.3%
3–0 11.3%
2–1 8.7%
1–1 7.4%

Rwanda at home

70% / 19% / 11%

Japan win / draw / Rwanda win

Japan–Rwanda

2–0 12.9%
1–0 12.0%
2–1 9.5%
3–0 9.3%
1–1 8.8%

Probabilities come from each team's current Elo rating, so they answer “if they met today” rather than predicting a scheduled fixture. See the methodology for how the model works and where it is weakest.

Elo since debut

Side by side

	Japan	Rwanda
Current Elo	1973	1448
Elo rank	15th	128th
Peak Elo	2012 (2026)	1532 (2015)
Matches played	794	280
All-time record	391W 167D 236L	88W 74D 118L
Goals for	1451	289
Goals against	915	336
Biggest win	14–0 vs Mongolia · 2021-03-30 · FIFA World Cup qualification	9–0 vs Djibouti · 2007-12-13 · CECAFA Cup
Biggest loss	2–15 vs Philippines · 1917-05-10 · Far Eastern Championship Games	1–6 vs DR Congo · 1976-07-03 · Friendly
World Cups won	0	0
Expected World Cups	0.16	0.00

When they've met

Japan and Rwanda have never played each other.