Head to head

Japan vs New Caledonia

If they played today

Japan at home

74% / 17% / 9%

Japan win / draw / New Caledonia win

Japan–New Caledonia

2–0 13.8%
1–0 12.2%
3–0 10.4%
2–1 9.1%
1–1 8.0%

Neutral venue

67% / 20% / 13%

Japan win / draw / New Caledonia win

Japan–New Caledonia

2–0 12.3%
1–0 11.9%
2–1 9.7%
1–1 9.4%
3–0 8.4%

New Caledonia at home

59% / 22% / 18%

Japan win / draw / New Caledonia win

Japan–New Caledonia

1–0 11.5%
2–0 10.7%
1–1 10.6%
2–1 9.9%
3–0 6.6%

Probabilities come from each team's current Elo rating, so they answer “if they met today” rather than predicting a scheduled fixture. See the methodology for how the model works and where it is weakest.

Elo since debut

Side by side

	Japan	New Caledonia
Current Elo	1973	1591
Elo rank	15th	85th
Peak Elo	2012 (2026)	1699 (2008)
Matches played	794	265
All-time record	391W 167D 236L	136W 34D 95L
Goals for	1451	698
Goals against	915	369
Biggest win	14–0 vs Mongolia · 2021-03-30 · FIFA World Cup qualification	18–0 vs Micronesia · 2003-07-01 · South Pacific Games
Biggest loss	2–15 vs Philippines · 1917-05-10 · Far Eastern Championship Games	0–11 vs Australia · 2002-07-08 · Oceania Nations Cup
World Cups won	0	0
Expected World Cups	0.16	0.00

When they've met

Japan and New Caledonia have never played each other.