Head to head

Japan vs Nepal

If they played today

Japan at home

95% / 4% / 0%

Japan win / draw / Nepal win

Japan–Nepal

3–0 21.1%
2–0 19.6%
4–0 17.1%
1–0 12.1%
5–0 11.1%

Neutral venue

93% / 6% / 1%

Japan win / draw / Nepal win

Japan–Nepal

3–0 19.5%
2–0 19.2%
4–0 14.8%
1–0 12.6%
5–0 9.0%

Nepal at home

89% / 9% / 2%

Japan win / draw / Nepal win

Japan–Nepal

2–0 17.9%
3–0 17.0%
1–0 12.6%
4–0 12.0%
5–0 6.8%

Probabilities come from each team's current Elo rating, so they answer “if they met today” rather than predicting a scheduled fixture. See the methodology for how the model works and where it is weakest.

Elo since debut

Side by side

	Japan	Nepal
Current Elo	1973	1103
Elo rank	15th	193rd
Peak Elo	2012 (2026)	1495 (1972)
Matches played	794	268
All-time record	391W 167D 236L	63W 47D 158L
Goals for	1451	229
Goals against	915	602
Biggest win	14–0 vs Mongolia · 2021-03-30 · FIFA World Cup qualification	7–0 vs Bhutan · 1999-09-26 · South Asian Games
Biggest loss	2–15 vs Philippines · 1917-05-10 · Far Eastern Championship Games	0–16 vs South Korea · 2003-09-29 · AFC Asian Cup qualification
World Cups won	0	0
Expected World Cups	0.16	0.00
AFC Asian Cups won	4	0
Expected AFC Asian Cups	1.47	0.00

When they've met

Meetings

Japan 4W 0D 0L

Goals

19–0

Japan first

First meeting

5–0

Japan won · 1986-09-20 · Asian Games

Most recent

5–0

Japan won · 1998-12-01 · Asian Games

Japan's biggest win

6–0

1997-03-27 · FIFA World Cup qualification

Nepal's biggest win

—

Never beaten Japan

Most common result

5–0

Japan first · twice, last 1998-12-01

Current run

Won last 4

Japan · since 1986-09-20

4 meetings

Date	Score	Venue	Competition
1998-12-01	5–0	Neutral	Asian Games
1997-06-25	3–0	Japan home	FIFA World Cup qualification
1997-03-27	6–0	Neutral	FIFA World Cup qualification
1986-09-20	5–0	Neutral	Asian Games