Head to head

Japan vs Mexico

If they played today

Japan at home

42% / 26% / 32%

Japan win / draw / Mexico win

Japan–Mexico

1–1 12.4%
1–0 10.1%
2–1 8.8%
0–1 8.7%
1–2 7.5%

Neutral venue

34% / 26% / 40%

Japan win / draw / Mexico win

Japan–Mexico

1–1 12.4%
0–1 10.0%
1–0 9.0%
1–2 8.6%
2–1 7.8%

Mexico at home

27% / 25% / 48%

Japan win / draw / Mexico win

Japan–Mexico

1–1 11.9%
0–1 10.7%
1–2 9.4%
0–2 8.4%
1–0 7.5%

Probabilities come from each team's current Elo rating, so they answer “if they met today” rather than predicting a scheduled fixture. See the methodology for how the model works and where it is weakest.

Elo since debut

Side by side

	Japan	Mexico
Current Elo	1973	2012
Elo rank	15th	12th
Peak Elo	2012 (2026)	2044 (2026)
Matches played	794	1008
All-time record	391W 167D 236L	518W 231D 259L
Goals for	1451	1777
Goals against	915	1057
Biggest win	14–0 vs Mongolia · 2021-03-30 · FIFA World Cup qualification	11–0 vs Saint Vincent and the Grenadines · 1992-12-06 · FIFA World Cup qualification
Biggest loss	2–15 vs Philippines · 1917-05-10 · Far Eastern Championship Games	0–8 vs England · 1961-05-10 · Friendly
World Cups won	0	0
Expected World Cups	0.16	0.64

When they've met

Meetings

Japan 1W 1D 6L

Goals

6–15

Japan first

First meeting

0–4

Mexico won · 1968-03-26 · Friendly

Most recent

0–0

Drawn · 2025-09-06 · Friendly

Japan's biggest win

3–2

1996-05-29 · Kirin Cup

Mexico's biggest win

4–0

1968-03-26 · Friendly

Most common result

1–2

Japan first · 3 times, last 2013-06-22

Current run

Unbeaten in 6

Mexico · since 1998-05-31

8 meetings

Date	Score	Venue	Competition
2025-09-06	0–0	Neutral	Friendly
2020-11-17	0–2	Neutral	Friendly
2013-06-22	1–2	Neutral	Confederations Cup
2005-06-16	1–2	Neutral	Confederations Cup
2000-02-05	0–1	Neutral	Lunar New Year Cup
1998-05-31	1–2	Neutral	Friendly
1996-05-29	3–2	Japan home	Kirin Cup
1968-03-26	0–4	Mexico home	Friendly