Head to head

Japan vs Mali

If they played today

Japan at home

66% / 20% / 14%

Japan win / draw / Mali win

Japan–Mali

2–0 12.0%
1–0 11.8%
2–1 9.8%
1–1 9.6%
3–0 8.1%

Neutral venue

58% / 23% / 19%

Japan win / draw / Mali win

Japan–Mali

1–0 11.4%
1–1 10.8%
2–0 10.4%
2–1 9.9%
3–0 6.3%

Mali at home

50% / 25% / 25%

Japan win / draw / Mali win

Japan–Mali

1–1 11.7%
1–0 10.8%
2–1 9.5%
2–0 8.8%
0–1 7.2%

Probabilities come from each team's current Elo rating, so they answer “if they met today” rather than predicting a scheduled fixture. See the methodology for how the model works and where it is weakest.

Elo since debut

Side by side

	Japan	Mali
Current Elo	1973	1709
Elo rank	15th	60th
Peak Elo	2012 (2026)	1773 (2024)
Matches played	794	569
All-time record	391W 167D 236L	232W 151D 186L
Goals for	1451	746
Goals against	915	626
Biggest win	14–0 vs Mongolia · 2021-03-30 · FIFA World Cup qualification	6–0 vs Eswatini · 2024-11-19 · African Cup of Nations qualification
Biggest loss	2–15 vs Philippines · 1917-05-10 · Far Eastern Championship Games	0–7 vs Algeria · 1988-11-13 · Friendly
World Cups won	0	0
Expected World Cups	0.16	0.00

When they've met

Meetings

Japan 0W 1D 0L

Goals

1–1

Japan first

First meeting

1–1

Drawn · 2018-03-23 · Friendly

Most recent

1–1

Drawn · 2018-03-23 · Friendly

1 meeting

Date	Score	Venue	Competition
2018-03-23	1–1	Neutral	Friendly