Head to head

Japan vs Malawi

If they played today

Japan at home

83% / 12% / 5%

Japan win / draw / Malawi win

Japan–Malawi

2–0 16.1%
3–0 13.8%
1–0 12.5%
4–0 8.8%
2–1 7.3%

Neutral venue

77% / 15% / 7%

Japan win / draw / Malawi win

Japan–Malawi

2–0 14.6%
1–0 12.3%
3–0 11.5%
2–1 8.6%
1–1 7.2%

Malawi at home

71% / 18% / 11%

Japan win / draw / Malawi win

Japan–Malawi

2–0 13.1%
1–0 12.1%
3–0 9.5%
2–1 9.4%
1–1 8.7%

Probabilities come from each team's current Elo rating, so they answer “if they met today” rather than predicting a scheduled fixture. See the methodology for how the model works and where it is weakest.

Elo since debut

Side by side

	Japan	Malawi
Current Elo	1973	1438
Elo rank	15th	136th
Peak Elo	2012 (2026)	1669 (1985)
Matches played	794	644
All-time record	391W 167D 236L	219W 182D 243L
Goals for	1451	753
Goals against	915	832
Biggest win	14–0 vs Mongolia · 2021-03-30 · FIFA World Cup qualification	8–1 vs Djibouti · 2008-05-31 · FIFA World Cup qualification
Biggest loss	2–15 vs Philippines · 1917-05-10 · Far Eastern Championship Games	0–12 vs Ghana · 1962-10-15 · Friendly
World Cups won	0	0
Expected World Cups	0.16	0.00

When they've met

Japan and Malawi have never played each other.