Head to head

Japan vs Luxembourg

If they played today

Japan at home

81% / 13% / 5%

Japan win / draw / Luxembourg win

Japan–Luxembourg

2–0 15.6%
3–0 13.0%
1–0 12.5%
4–0 8.2%
2–1 7.7%

Neutral venue

75% / 16% / 8%

Japan win / draw / Luxembourg win

Japan–Luxembourg

2–0 14.1%
1–0 12.2%
3–0 10.9%
2–1 8.9%
1–1 7.7%

Luxembourg at home

68% / 19% / 12%

Japan win / draw / Luxembourg win

Japan–Luxembourg

2–0 12.6%
1–0 12.0%
2–1 9.6%
1–1 9.1%
3–0 8.8%

Probabilities come from each team's current Elo rating, so they answer “if they met today” rather than predicting a scheduled fixture. See the methodology for how the model works and where it is weakest.

Elo since debut

Side by side

	Japan	Luxembourg
Current Elo	1973	1470
Elo rank	15th	124th
Peak Elo	2012 (2026)	1567 (2023)
Matches played	794	467
All-time record	391W 167D 236L	50W 63D 354L
Goals for	1451	296
Goals against	915	1204
Biggest win	14–0 vs Mongolia · 2021-03-30 · FIFA World Cup qualification	4–0 vs Moldova · 2018-09-08 · UEFA Nations League
Biggest loss	2–15 vs Philippines · 1917-05-10 · Far Eastern Championship Games	0–9 vs Portugal · 2023-09-11 · UEFA Euro qualification
World Cups won	0	0
Expected World Cups	0.16	0.00

When they've met

Meetings

Japan 1W 0D 0L

Goals

1–0

Japan first

First meeting

1–0

Japan won · 1980-05-11 · Friendly

Most recent

1–0

Japan won · 1980-05-11 · Friendly

1 meeting

Date	Score	Venue	Competition
1980-05-11	1–0	Neutral	Friendly