Head to head

Italy vs Zambia

If they played today

Italy at home

73% / 17% / 10%

Italy win / draw / Zambia win

Italy–Zambia

2–0 13.6%
1–0 12.2%
3–0 10.2%
2–1 9.2%
1–1 8.2%

Neutral venue

66% / 20% / 14%

Italy win / draw / Zambia win

Italy–Zambia

2–0 12.1%
1–0 11.8%
2–1 9.7%
1–1 9.5%
3–0 8.2%

Zambia at home

59% / 23% / 19%

Italy win / draw / Zambia win

Italy–Zambia

1–0 11.4%
1–1 10.7%
2–0 10.5%
2–1 9.9%
3–0 6.5%

Probabilities come from each team's current Elo rating, so they answer “if they met today” rather than predicting a scheduled fixture. See the methodology for how the model works and where it is weakest.

Elo since debut

Side by side

	Italy	Zambia
Current Elo	1922	1551
Elo rank	19th	94th
Peak Elo	2140 (2021)	1799 (1994)
Matches played	893	793
All-time record	477W 243D 173L	358W 203D 232L
Goals for	1565	1234
Goals against	876	851
Biggest win	10–0 vs United States · 1975-04-02 · Friendly	11–2 vs Eswatini · 1978-02-05 · Friendly
Biggest loss	1–7 vs Hungary · 1924-04-06 · Friendly	1–10 vs DR Congo · 1969-11-22 · Friendly
World Cups won	4	0
Expected World Cups	1.66	0.00

When they've met

Italy and Zambia have never played each other.