Head to head

Italy vs Uzbekistan

If they played today

Italy at home

60% / 22% / 18%

Italy win / draw / Uzbekistan win

Italy–Uzbekistan

1–0 11.5%
2–0 10.8%
1–1 10.5%
2–1 9.9%
3–0 6.8%

Neutral venue

52% / 24% / 24%

Italy win / draw / Uzbekistan win

Italy–Uzbekistan

1–1 11.5%
1–0 11.0%
2–1 9.7%
2–0 9.3%
0–1 6.8%

Uzbekistan at home

44% / 26% / 30%

Italy win / draw / Uzbekistan win

Italy–Uzbekistan

1–1 12.2%
1–0 10.4%
2–1 9.0%
0–1 8.2%
2–0 7.7%

Probabilities come from each team's current Elo rating, so they answer “if they met today” rather than predicting a scheduled fixture. See the methodology for how the model works and where it is weakest.

Elo since debut

Side by side

	Italy	Uzbekistan
Current Elo	1922	1731
Elo rank	19th	56th
Peak Elo	2140 (2021)	1844 (2025)
Matches played	893	357
All-time record	477W 243D 173L	169W 73D 115L
Goals for	1565	615
Goals against	876	405
Biggest win	10–0 vs United States · 1975-04-02 · Friendly	15–0 vs Mongolia · 1998-12-05 · Asian Games
Biggest loss	1–7 vs Hungary · 1924-04-06 · Friendly	1–8 vs Japan · 2000-10-17 · AFC Asian Cup
World Cups won	4	0
Expected World Cups	1.66	<0.01

When they've met

Italy and Uzbekistan have never played each other.