Head to head

Italy vs United States

If they played today

Italy at home

51% / 24% / 24%

Italy win / draw / United States win

Italy–United States

1–1 11.6%
1–0 10.9%
2–1 9.6%
2–0 9.1%
0–1 7.0%

Neutral venue

43% / 26% / 31%

Italy win / draw / United States win

Italy–United States

1–1 12.3%
1–0 10.3%
2–1 9.0%
0–1 8.4%
2–0 7.5%

United States at home

35% / 26% / 38%

Italy win / draw / United States win

Italy–United States

1–1 12.5%
0–1 9.8%
1–0 9.3%
1–2 8.4%
2–1 8.0%

Probabilities come from each team's current Elo rating, so they answer “if they met today” rather than predicting a scheduled fixture. See the methodology for how the model works and where it is weakest.

Elo since debut

Side by side

	Italy	United States
Current Elo	1922	1842
Elo rank	19th	34th
Peak Elo	2140 (2021)	1973 (2021)
Matches played	893	795
All-time record	477W 243D 173L	354W 161D 280L
Goals for	1565	1211
Goals against	876	1056
Biggest win	10–0 vs United States · 1975-04-02 · Friendly	8–0 vs Barbados · 2008-06-15 · FIFA World Cup qualification
Biggest loss	1–7 vs Hungary · 1924-04-06 · Friendly	0–11 vs Norway · 1948-08-06 · Friendly
World Cups won	4	0
Expected World Cups	1.66	0.21

When they've met

Meetings

Italy 6W 3D 1L

Goals

25–5

Italy first

First meeting

7–1

Italy won · 1934-05-27 · FIFA World Cup

Most recent

1–0

Italy won · 2018-11-20 · Friendly

Italy's biggest win

10–0

1975-04-02 · Friendly

United States' biggest win

1–0

2012-02-29 · Friendly

Most common result

1–0

Italy first · 3 times, last 2018-11-20

Current run

Won the last meeting

Italy · since 2018-11-20

10 meetings

Date	Score	Venue	Competition
2018-11-20	1–0	Neutral	Friendly
2012-02-29	0–1	Italy home	Friendly
2009-06-15	3–1	Neutral	Confederations Cup
2006-06-17	1–1	Neutral	FIFA World Cup
2002-02-13	1–0	Italy home	Friendly
1992-06-06	1–1	United States home	USA Cup
1990-06-14	1–0	Italy home	FIFA World Cup
1984-05-30	0–0	United States home	Friendly
1975-04-02	10–0	Italy home	Friendly
1934-05-27	7–1	Italy home	FIFA World Cup