Head to head

Italy vs United States Virgin Islands

If they played today

Italy at home

96% / 4% / 0%

Italy win / draw / United States Virgin Islands win

Italy–United States Virgin Islands

3–0 20.9%
2–0 18.6%
4–0 17.6%
5–0 11.8%
1–0 11.1%

Neutral venue

95% / 5% / 0%

Italy win / draw / United States Virgin Islands win

Italy–United States Virgin Islands

3–0 21.1%
2–0 20.0%
4–0 16.7%
1–0 12.6%
5–0 10.5%

United States Virgin Islands at home

92% / 7% / 1%

Italy win / draw / United States Virgin Islands win

Italy–United States Virgin Islands

2–0 18.7%
3–0 18.5%
4–0 13.7%
1–0 12.6%
5–0 8.1%

Probabilities come from each team's current Elo rating, so they answer “if they met today” rather than predicting a scheduled fixture. See the methodology for how the model works and where it is weakest.

Elo since debut

Side by side

	Italy	United States Virgin Islands
Current Elo	1922	990
Elo rank	19th	206th
Peak Elo	2140 (2021)	1507 (1999)
Matches played	893	78
All-time record	477W 243D 173L	10W 12D 56L
Goals for	1565	54
Goals against	876	295
Biggest win	10–0 vs United States · 1975-04-02 · Friendly	4–0 vs Marshall Islands · 2025-08-14 · Outrigger Challenge Cup
Biggest loss	1–7 vs Hungary · 1924-04-06 · Friendly	1–14 vs Saint Lucia · 2001-04-14 · CFU Caribbean Cup qualification
World Cups won	4	0
Expected World Cups	1.66	0.00

When they've met

Italy and United States Virgin Islands have never played each other.