Head to head

Italy vs United Arab Emirates

If they played today

Italy at home

65% / 20% / 14%

Italy win / draw / United Arab Emirates win

Italy–United Arab Emirates

2–0 11.9%
1–0 11.8%
2–1 9.8%
1–1 9.7%
3–0 8.0%

Neutral venue

57% / 23% / 20%

Italy win / draw / United Arab Emirates win

Italy–United Arab Emirates

1–0 11.3%
1–1 10.9%
2–0 10.3%
2–1 9.9%
0–0 6.3%

United Arab Emirates at home

49% / 25% / 26%

Italy win / draw / United Arab Emirates win

Italy–United Arab Emirates

1–1 11.8%
1–0 10.8%
2–1 9.5%
2–0 8.7%
0–1 7.3%

Probabilities come from each team's current Elo rating, so they answer “if they met today” rather than predicting a scheduled fixture. See the methodology for how the model works and where it is weakest.

Elo since debut

Side by side

	Italy	United Arab Emirates
Current Elo	1922	1666
Elo rank	19th	74th
Peak Elo	2140 (2021)	1783 (2015)
Matches played	893	612
All-time record	477W 243D 173L	246W 152D 214L
Goals for	1565	867
Goals against	876	760
Biggest win	10–0 vs United States · 1975-04-02 · Friendly	12–0 vs Brunei · 2001-04-14 · FIFA World Cup qualification
Biggest loss	1–7 vs Hungary · 1924-04-06 · Friendly	0–8 vs Brazil · 2005-11-12 · Friendly
World Cups won	4	0
Expected World Cups	1.66	<0.01

When they've met

Italy and United Arab Emirates have never played each other.