Head to head

Italy vs Uganda

If they played today

Italy at home

76% / 16% / 8%

Italy win / draw / Uganda win

Italy–Uganda

2–0 14.2%
1–0 12.3%
3–0 11.0%
2–1 8.8%
1–1 7.6%

Neutral venue

69% / 19% / 12%

Italy win / draw / Uganda win

Italy–Uganda

2–0 12.7%
1–0 12.0%
2–1 9.6%
1–1 9.1%
3–0 8.9%

Uganda at home

61% / 22% / 17%

Italy win / draw / Uganda win

Italy–Uganda

1–0 11.6%
2–0 11.1%
1–1 10.3%
2–1 9.9%
3–0 7.1%

Probabilities come from each team's current Elo rating, so they answer “if they met today” rather than predicting a scheduled fixture. See the methodology for how the model works and where it is weakest.

Elo since debut

Side by side

	Italy	Uganda
Current Elo	1922	1514
Elo rank	19th	105th
Peak Elo	2140 (2021)	1707 (1978)
Matches played	893	685
All-time record	477W 243D 173L	285W 182D 218L
Goals for	1565	1030
Goals against	876	809
Biggest win	10–0 vs United States · 1975-04-02 · Friendly	13–1 vs Kenya · 1932-08-25 · Friendly
Biggest loss	1–7 vs Hungary · 1924-04-06 · Friendly	1–8 vs Nigeria · 1991-09-23 · Friendly
World Cups won	4	0
Expected World Cups	1.66	0.00

When they've met

Italy and Uganda have never played each other.