Head to head

Italy vs Turkmenistan

If they played today

Italy at home

83% / 12% / 5%

Italy win / draw / Turkmenistan win

Italy–Turkmenistan

2–0 16.1%
3–0 13.8%
1–0 12.5%
4–0 8.8%
2–1 7.3%

Neutral venue

77% / 15% / 7%

Italy win / draw / Turkmenistan win

Italy–Turkmenistan

2–0 14.6%
1–0 12.3%
3–0 11.5%
2–1 8.6%
1–1 7.2%

Turkmenistan at home

71% / 18% / 11%

Italy win / draw / Turkmenistan win

Italy–Turkmenistan

2–0 13.1%
1–0 12.1%
3–0 9.5%
2–1 9.4%
1–1 8.7%

Probabilities come from each team's current Elo rating, so they answer “if they met today” rather than predicting a scheduled fixture. See the methodology for how the model works and where it is weakest.

Elo since debut

Side by side

	Italy	Turkmenistan
Current Elo	1922	1387
Elo rank	19th	151st
Peak Elo	2140 (2021)	1584 (2004)
Matches played	893	175
All-time record	477W 243D 173L	64W 32D 79L
Goals for	1565	265
Goals against	876	266
Biggest win	10–0 vs United States · 1975-04-02 · Friendly	11–0 vs Afghanistan · 2003-11-19 · FIFA World Cup qualification
Biggest loss	1–7 vs Hungary · 1924-04-06 · Friendly	1–6 vs Kuwait · 2000-02-10 · AFC Asian Cup qualification
World Cups won	4	0
Expected World Cups	1.66	0.00

When they've met

Italy and Turkmenistan have never played each other.