Head to head

Italy vs Tunisia

If they played today

Italy at home

65% / 20% / 14%

Italy win / draw / Tunisia win

Italy–Tunisia

2–0 11.9%
1–0 11.8%
2–1 9.8%
1–1 9.7%
3–0 8.0%

Neutral venue

58% / 23% / 19%

Italy win / draw / Tunisia win

Italy–Tunisia

1–0 11.4%
1–1 10.8%
2–0 10.4%
2–1 9.9%
3–0 6.3%

Tunisia at home

50% / 25% / 25%

Italy win / draw / Tunisia win

Italy–Tunisia

1–1 11.7%
1–0 10.8%
2–1 9.5%
2–0 8.8%
0–1 7.2%

Probabilities come from each team's current Elo rating, so they answer “if they met today” rather than predicting a scheduled fixture. See the methodology for how the model works and where it is weakest.

Elo since debut

Side by side

	Italy	Tunisia
Current Elo	1922	1661
Elo rank	19th	75th
Peak Elo	2140 (2021)	1862 (2023)
Matches played	893	681
All-time record	477W 243D 173L	296W 189D 196L
Goals for	1565	976
Goals against	876	702
Biggest win	10–0 vs United States · 1975-04-02 · Friendly	8–1 vs Djibouti · 2015-06-12 · African Cup of Nations qualification
Biggest loss	1–7 vs Hungary · 1924-04-06 · Friendly	0–7 vs Serbia · 1960-08-06 · Friendly
World Cups won	4	0
Expected World Cups	1.66	0.05

When they've met

Meetings

Italy 1W 0D 0L

Goals

4–0

Italy first

First meeting

4–0

Italy won · 2004-05-30 · Friendly

Most recent

4–0

Italy won · 2004-05-30 · Friendly

1 meeting

Date	Score	Venue	Competition
2004-05-30	4–0	Tunisia home	Friendly