Head to head

Italy vs Tajikistan

If they played today

Italy at home

80% / 14% / 6%

Italy win / draw / Tajikistan win

Italy–Tajikistan

2–0 15.3%
3–0 12.6%
1–0 12.4%
2–1 8.0%
4–0 7.8%

Neutral venue

74% / 17% / 9%

Italy win / draw / Tajikistan win

Italy–Tajikistan

2–0 13.8%
1–0 12.2%
3–0 10.5%
2–1 9.1%
1–1 8.0%

Tajikistan at home

67% / 20% / 13%

Italy win / draw / Tajikistan win

Italy–Tajikistan

2–0 12.3%
1–0 11.9%
2–1 9.7%
1–1 9.4%
3–0 8.5%

Probabilities come from each team's current Elo rating, so they answer “if they met today” rather than predicting a scheduled fixture. See the methodology for how the model works and where it is weakest.

Elo since debut

Side by side

	Italy	Tajikistan
Current Elo	1922	1438
Elo rank	19th	136th
Peak Elo	2140 (2021)	1569 (1997)
Matches played	893	201
All-time record	477W 243D 173L	78W 43D 80L
Goals for	1565	299
Goals against	876	278
Biggest win	10–0 vs United States · 1975-04-02 · Friendly	16–0 vs Guam · 2000-11-26 · FIFA World Cup qualification
Biggest loss	1–7 vs Hungary · 1924-04-06 · Friendly	0–8 vs Japan · 2011-10-11 · FIFA World Cup qualification
World Cups won	4	0
Expected World Cups	1.66	0.00

When they've met

Italy and Tajikistan have never played each other.