Head to head

Italy vs Tahiti

If they played today

Italy at home

76% / 16% / 8%

Italy win / draw / Tahiti win

Italy–Tahiti

2–0 14.3%
1–0 12.3%
3–0 11.1%
2–1 8.8%
1–1 7.5%

Neutral venue

69% / 19% / 12%

Italy win / draw / Tahiti win

Italy–Tahiti

2–0 12.8%
1–0 12.0%
2–1 9.5%
3–0 9.1%
1–1 8.9%

Tahiti at home

62% / 21% / 16%

Italy win / draw / Tahiti win

Italy–Tahiti

1–0 11.6%
2–0 11.2%
1–1 10.2%
2–1 9.9%
3–0 7.2%

Probabilities come from each team's current Elo rating, so they answer “if they met today” rather than predicting a scheduled fixture. See the methodology for how the model works and where it is weakest.

Elo since debut

Side by side

	Italy	Tahiti
Current Elo	1922	1506
Elo rank	19th	109th
Peak Elo	2140 (2021)	1856 (1996)
Matches played	893	242
All-time record	477W 243D 173L	131W 31D 80L
Goals for	1565	657
Goals against	876	371
Biggest win	10–0 vs United States · 1975-04-02 · Friendly	30–0 vs Cook Islands · 1971-09-13 · South Pacific Games
Biggest loss	1–7 vs Hungary · 1924-04-06 · Friendly	0–10 vs Spain · 2013-06-20 · Confederations Cup
World Cups won	4	0
Expected World Cups	1.66	0.00

When they've met

Italy and Tahiti have never played each other.