Head to head

Italy vs Somalia

If they played today

Italy at home

95% / 4% / 0%

Italy win / draw / Somalia win

Italy–Somalia

3–0 21.1%
2–0 19.7%
4–0 17.0%
1–0 12.2%
5–0 11.0%

Neutral venue

93% / 6% / 1%

Italy win / draw / Somalia win

Italy–Somalia

3–0 19.2%
2–0 19.1%
4–0 14.5%
1–0 12.6%
5–0 8.8%

Somalia at home

89% / 9% / 2%

Italy win / draw / Somalia win

Italy–Somalia

2–0 17.8%
3–0 16.8%
1–0 12.6%
4–0 11.8%
5–0 6.7%

Probabilities come from each team's current Elo rating, so they answer “if they met today” rather than predicting a scheduled fixture. See the methodology for how the model works and where it is weakest.

Elo since debut

Side by side

	Italy	Somalia
Current Elo	1922	1061
Elo rank	19th	196th
Peak Elo	2140 (2021)	1475 (1963)
Matches played	893	124
All-time record	477W 243D 173L	11W 15D 98L
Goals for	1565	62
Goals against	876	330
Biggest win	10–0 vs United States · 1975-04-02 · Friendly	3–2 vs Djibouti · 2008-12-23 · Friendly
Biggest loss	1–7 vs Hungary · 1924-04-06 · Friendly	0–14 vs North Korea · 1963-11-11 · Friendly
World Cups won	4	0
Expected World Cups	1.66	0.00

When they've met

Italy and Somalia have never played each other.