Head to head

Italy vs Slovenia

If they played today

Italy at home

59% / 22% / 18%

Italy win / draw / Slovenia win

Italy–Slovenia

1–0 11.5%
2–0 10.7%
1–1 10.6%
2–1 9.9%
3–0 6.6%

Neutral venue

51% / 24% / 24%

Italy win / draw / Slovenia win

Italy–Slovenia

1–1 11.6%
1–0 10.9%
2–1 9.6%
2–0 9.1%
0–1 7.0%

Slovenia at home

43% / 26% / 31%

Italy win / draw / Slovenia win

Italy–Slovenia

1–1 12.3%
1–0 10.3%
2–1 9.0%
0–1 8.4%
2–0 7.5%

Probabilities come from each team's current Elo rating, so they answer “if they met today” rather than predicting a scheduled fixture. See the methodology for how the model works and where it is weakest.

Elo since debut

Side by side

	Italy	Slovenia
Current Elo	1922	1741
Elo rank	19th	53rd
Peak Elo	2140 (2021)	1830 (2024)
Matches played	893	317
All-time record	477W 243D 173L	114W 86D 117L
Goals for	1565	392
Goals against	876	372
Biggest win	10–0 vs United States · 1975-04-02 · Friendly	7–0 vs Oman · 1999-02-08 · Friendly
Biggest loss	1–7 vs Hungary · 1924-04-06 · Friendly	0–5 vs France · 2002-10-12 · UEFA Euro qualification
World Cups won	4	0
Expected World Cups	1.66	0.01
European Championships won	2	0
Expected European Championships	1.29	0.01

When they've met

Meetings

Italy 4W 1D 2L

Goals

5–3

Italy first

First meeting

1–1

Drawn · 1994-09-07 · UEFA Euro qualification

Most recent

1–0

Italy won · 2011-09-06 · UEFA Euro qualification

Italy's biggest win

1–0

2011-09-06 · UEFA Euro qualification

Slovenia's biggest win

1–0

2004-10-09 · FIFA World Cup qualification

Most common result

1–0

Italy first · 4 times, last 2011-09-06

Current run

Won last 3

Italy · since 2005-10-08

7 meetings

Date	Score	Venue	Competition
2011-09-06	1–0	Italy home	UEFA Euro qualification
2011-03-25	1–0	Slovenia home	UEFA Euro qualification
2005-10-08	1–0	Italy home	FIFA World Cup qualification
2004-10-09	0–1	Slovenia home	FIFA World Cup qualification
2002-08-21	0–1	Italy home	Friendly
1995-09-06	1–0	Italy home	UEFA Euro qualification
1994-09-07	1–1	Slovenia home	UEFA Euro qualification