Head to head

Italy vs Senegal

If they played today

Italy at home

48% / 25% / 27%

Italy win / draw / Senegal win

Italy–Senegal

1–1 11.9%
1–0 10.7%
2–1 9.4%
2–0 8.5%
0–1 7.5%

Neutral venue

40% / 26% / 34%

Italy win / draw / Senegal win

Italy–Senegal

1–1 12.4%
1–0 10.0%
0–1 9.0%
2–1 8.6%
1–2 7.7%

Senegal at home

32% / 26% / 42%

Italy win / draw / Senegal win

Italy–Senegal

1–1 12.4%
0–1 10.1%
1–2 8.8%
1–0 8.7%
2–1 7.6%

Probabilities come from each team's current Elo rating, so they answer “if they met today” rather than predicting a scheduled fixture. See the methodology for how the model works and where it is weakest.

Elo since debut

Side by side

	Italy	Senegal
Current Elo	1922	1881
Elo rank	19th	27th
Peak Elo	2140 (2021)	1953 (2026)
Matches played	893	642
All-time record	477W 243D 173L	299W 169D 174L
Goals for	1565	892
Goals against	876	608
Biggest win	10–0 vs United States · 1975-04-02 · Friendly	8–0 vs Kenya · 2025-11-18 · Friendly
Biggest loss	1–7 vs Hungary · 1924-04-06 · Friendly	0–5 vs Guinea · 1966-03-06 · Friendly
World Cups won	4	0
Expected World Cups	1.66	0.04

When they've met

Italy and Senegal have never played each other.