Head to head

Italy vs Scotland

If they played today

Italy at home

54% / 24% / 23%

Italy win / draw / Scotland win

Italy–Scotland

1–1 11.4%
1–0 11.1%
2–1 9.7%
2–0 9.5%
0–1 6.6%

Neutral venue

45% / 25% / 29%

Italy win / draw / Scotland win

Italy–Scotland

1–1 12.1%
1–0 10.5%
2–1 9.2%
0–1 8.0%
2–0 7.9%

Scotland at home

37% / 26% / 36%

Italy win / draw / Scotland win

Italy–Scotland

1–1 12.5%
1–0 9.7%
0–1 9.5%
2–1 8.2%
1–2 8.1%

Probabilities come from each team's current Elo rating, so they answer “if they met today” rather than predicting a scheduled fixture. See the methodology for how the model works and where it is weakest.

Elo since debut

Side by side

	Italy	Scotland
Current Elo	1922	1815
Elo rank	19th	37th
Peak Elo	2140 (2021)	1875 (2023)
Matches played	893	854
All-time record	477W 243D 173L	403W 182D 269L
Goals for	1565	1455
Goals against	876	1054
Biggest win	10–0 vs United States · 1975-04-02 · Friendly	11–0 vs Northern Ireland · 1901-02-23 · British Home Championship
Biggest loss	1–7 vs Hungary · 1924-04-06 · Friendly	0–7 vs Uruguay · 1954-06-19 · FIFA World Cup
World Cups won	4	0
Expected World Cups	1.66	0.21
European Championships won	2	0
Expected European Championships	1.29	0.07

When they've met

Meetings

Italy 8W 2D 1L

Goals

19–4

Italy first

First meeting

3–0

Italy won · 1931-05-20 · Friendly

Most recent

1–0

Italy won · 2016-05-29 · Friendly

Italy's biggest win

3–0

1965-12-07 · FIFA World Cup qualification

Scotland's biggest win

1–0

1965-11-09 · FIFA World Cup qualification

Most common result

2–0

Italy first · 3 times, last 2007-03-28

Current run

Unbeaten in 9

Italy · since 1965-12-07

11 meetings

Date	Score	Venue	Competition
2016-05-29	1–0	Neutral	Friendly
2007-11-17	2–1	Scotland home	UEFA Euro qualification
2007-03-28	2–0	Italy home	UEFA Euro qualification
2005-09-03	1–1	Scotland home	FIFA World Cup qualification
2005-03-26	2–0	Italy home	FIFA World Cup qualification
1993-10-13	3–1	Italy home	FIFA World Cup qualification
1992-11-18	0–0	Scotland home	FIFA World Cup qualification
1988-12-22	2–0	Italy home	Friendly
1965-12-07	3–0	Italy home	FIFA World Cup qualification
1965-11-09	0–1	Scotland home	FIFA World Cup qualification
1931-05-20	3–0	Italy home	Friendly