Head to head

Italy vs São Tomé and Príncipe

If they played today

Italy at home

92% / 7% / 1%

Italy win / draw / São Tomé and Príncipe win

Italy–São Tomé and Príncipe

2–0 18.8%
3–0 18.7%
4–0 13.9%
1–0 12.6%
5–0 8.3%

Neutral venue

88% / 9% / 2%

Italy win / draw / São Tomé and Príncipe win

Italy–São Tomé and Príncipe

2–0 17.5%
3–0 16.2%
1–0 12.6%
4–0 11.3%
5–0 6.3%

São Tomé and Príncipe at home

83% / 12% / 4%

Italy win / draw / São Tomé and Príncipe win

Italy–São Tomé and Príncipe

2–0 16.1%
3–0 13.9%
1–0 12.5%
4–0 8.9%
2–1 7.2%

Probabilities come from each team's current Elo rating, so they answer “if they met today” rather than predicting a scheduled fixture. See the methodology for how the model works and where it is weakest.

Elo since debut

Side by side

	Italy	São Tomé and Príncipe
Current Elo	1922	1182
Elo rank	19th	182nd
Peak Elo	2140 (2021)	1481 (1976)
Matches played	893	71
All-time record	477W 243D 173L	9W 10D 52L
Goals for	1565	53
Goals against	876	182
Biggest win	10–0 vs United States · 1975-04-02 · Friendly	3–1 vs Mauritius · 2019-10-09 · African Cup of Nations qualification
Biggest loss	1–7 vs Hungary · 1924-04-06 · Friendly	0–10 vs Nigeria · 2022-06-13 · African Cup of Nations qualification
World Cups won	4	0
Expected World Cups	1.66	0.00

When they've met

Italy and São Tomé and Príncipe have never played each other.