Head to head

Italy vs Saint Lucia

If they played today

Italy at home
91% / 8% / 2%
Italy win / draw / Saint Lucia win
Italy–Saint Lucia
  • 2–0 18.3%
  • 3–0 17.7%
  • 4–0 12.8%
  • 1–0 12.6%
  • 5–0 7.4%
Neutral venue
86% / 11% / 3%
Italy win / draw / Saint Lucia win
Italy–Saint Lucia
  • 2–0 16.9%
  • 3–0 15.2%
  • 1–0 12.6%
  • 4–0 10.3%
  • 2–1 6.3%
Saint Lucia at home
81% / 13% / 6%
Italy win / draw / Saint Lucia win
Italy–Saint Lucia
  • 2–0 15.5%
  • 3–0 12.9%
  • 1–0 12.4%
  • 4–0 8.1%
  • 2–1 7.8%

Probabilities come from each team's current Elo rating, so they answer “if they met today” rather than predicting a scheduled fixture. See the methodology for how the model works and where it is weakest.

Elo since debut

Side by side

 ItalySaint Lucia
Current Elo19221224
Elo rank19th177th
Peak Elo2140 (2021)1526 (1965)
Matches played893230
All-time record477W 243D 173L80W 33D 117L
Goals for1565327
Goals against876438
Biggest win10–0 vs United States · 1975-04-02 · Friendly14–1 vs United States Virgin Islands · 2001-04-14 · CFU Caribbean Cup qualification
Biggest loss1–7 vs Hungary · 1924-04-06 · Friendly0–8 vs Saint Vincent and the Grenadines · 2006-10-01 · CFU Caribbean Cup qualification
World Cups won40
Expected World Cups1.660.00

When they've met

Italy and Saint Lucia have never played each other.