Head to head

Italy vs Poland

If they played today

Italy at home

56% / 23% / 20%

Italy win / draw / Poland win

Italy–Poland

1–0 11.3%
1–1 11.0%
2–0 10.1%
2–1 9.8%
0–0 6.3%

Neutral venue

48% / 25% / 27%

Italy win / draw / Poland win

Italy–Poland

1–1 11.9%
1–0 10.7%
2–1 9.4%
2–0 8.5%
0–1 7.5%

Poland at home

40% / 26% / 34%

Italy win / draw / Poland win

Italy–Poland

1–1 12.4%
1–0 10.0%
0–1 9.0%
2–1 8.6%
1–2 7.7%

Probabilities come from each team's current Elo rating, so they answer “if they met today” rather than predicting a scheduled fixture. See the methodology for how the model works and where it is weakest.

Elo since debut

Side by side

	Italy	Poland
Current Elo	1922	1779
Elo rank	19th	44th
Peak Elo	2140 (2021)	1937 (1975)
Matches played	893	892
All-time record	477W 243D 173L	384W 225D 283L
Goals for	1565	1499
Goals against	876	1201
Biggest win	10–0 vs United States · 1975-04-02 · Friendly	10–0 vs San Marino · 2009-04-01 · FIFA World Cup qualification
Biggest loss	1–7 vs Hungary · 1924-04-06 · Friendly	0–8 vs Denmark · 1948-06-26 · Friendly
World Cups won	4	0
Expected World Cups	1.66	0.24
European Championships won	2	0
Expected European Championships	1.29	0.10

When they've met

Meetings

Italy 7W 8D 3L

Goals

23–10

Italy first

First meeting

0–0

Drawn · 1965-04-18 · FIFA World Cup qualification

Most recent

2–0

Italy won · 2020-11-15 · UEFA Nations League

Italy's biggest win

6–1

1965-11-01 · FIFA World Cup qualification

Poland's biggest win

3–1

2003-11-12 · Friendly

Most common result

0–0

Italy first · 6 times, last 2020-10-11

Current run

Unbeaten in 5

Italy · since 2011-11-11

18 meetings

Date	Score	Venue	Competition
2020-11-15	2–0	Italy home	UEFA Nations League
2020-10-11	0–0	Poland home	UEFA Nations League
2018-10-14	1–0	Poland home	UEFA Nations League
2018-09-07	1–1	Italy home	UEFA Nations League
2011-11-11	2–0	Poland home	Friendly
2003-11-12	1–3	Poland home	Friendly
1997-04-30	3–0	Italy home	FIFA World Cup qualification
1997-04-02	0–0	Poland home	FIFA World Cup qualification
1985-11-16	0–1	Poland home	Friendly
1984-12-08	2–0	Italy home	Friendly
1982-07-08	2–0	Neutral	FIFA World Cup
1982-06-14	0–0	Neutral	FIFA World Cup
1980-04-19	2–2	Italy home	Friendly
1975-10-26	0–0	Poland home	UEFA Euro qualification
1975-04-19	0–0	Italy home	UEFA Euro qualification
1974-06-23	1–2	Neutral	FIFA World Cup
1965-11-01	6–1	Italy home	FIFA World Cup qualification
1965-04-18	0–0	Poland home	FIFA World Cup qualification