Head to head

Italy vs Paraguay

If they played today

Italy at home

47% / 25% / 28%

Italy win / draw / Paraguay win

Italy–Paraguay

1–1 12.0%
1–0 10.6%
2–1 9.3%
2–0 8.1%
0–1 7.8%

Neutral venue

38% / 26% / 35%

Italy win / draw / Paraguay win

Italy–Paraguay

1–1 12.5%
1–0 9.8%
0–1 9.3%
2–1 8.4%
1–2 8.0%

Paraguay at home

31% / 26% / 43%

Italy win / draw / Paraguay win

Italy–Paraguay

1–1 12.3%
0–1 10.3%
1–2 8.9%
1–0 8.4%
0–2 7.5%

Probabilities come from each team's current Elo rating, so they answer “if they met today” rather than predicting a scheduled fixture. See the methodology for how the model works and where it is weakest.

Elo since debut

Side by side

	Italy	Paraguay
Current Elo	1922	1901
Elo rank	19th	23rd
Peak Elo	2140 (2021)	1927 (2025)
Matches played	893	788
All-time record	477W 243D 173L	276W 210D 302L
Goals for	1565	1006
Goals against	876	1119
Biggest win	10–0 vs United States · 1975-04-02 · Friendly	7–0 vs Hong Kong · 2010-11-17 · Friendly
Biggest loss	1–7 vs Hungary · 1924-04-06 · Friendly	0–8 vs Argentina · 1926-10-20 · Copa América
World Cups won	4	0
Expected World Cups	1.66	0.23

When they've met

Meetings

Italy 2W 1D 0L

Goals

6–2

Italy first

First meeting

2–0

Italy won · 1950-07-02 · FIFA World Cup

Most recent

1–1

Drawn · 2010-06-14 · FIFA World Cup

Italy's biggest win

3–1

1998-04-22 · Friendly

Paraguay's biggest win

—

Never beaten Italy

Current run

Unbeaten in 3

Italy · since 1950-07-02

3 meetings

Date	Score	Venue	Competition
2010-06-14	1–1	Neutral	FIFA World Cup
1998-04-22	3–1	Italy home	Friendly
1950-07-02	2–0	Neutral	FIFA World Cup