Head to head

Italy vs Papua New Guinea

If they played today

Italy at home
80% / 14% / 6%
Italy win / draw / Papua New Guinea win
Italy–Papua New Guinea
  • 2–0 15.3%
  • 3–0 12.5%
  • 1–0 12.4%
  • 2–1 8.1%
  • 4–0 7.7%
Neutral venue
74% / 17% / 9%
Italy win / draw / Papua New Guinea win
Italy–Papua New Guinea
  • 2–0 13.8%
  • 1–0 12.2%
  • 3–0 10.4%
  • 2–1 9.1%
  • 1–1 8.1%
Papua New Guinea at home
67% / 20% / 13%
Italy win / draw / Papua New Guinea win
Italy–Papua New Guinea
  • 2–0 12.2%
  • 1–0 11.9%
  • 2–1 9.7%
  • 1–1 9.4%
  • 3–0 8.4%

Probabilities come from each team's current Elo rating, so they answer “if they met today” rather than predicting a scheduled fixture. See the methodology for how the model works and where it is weakest.

Elo since debut

Side by side

 ItalyPapua New Guinea
Current Elo19221443
Elo rank19th133rd
Peak Elo2140 (2021)1553 (1989)
Matches played893155
All-time record477W 243D 173L52W 29D 74L
Goals for1565336
Goals against876312
Biggest win10–0 vs United States · 1975-04-02 · Friendly20–0 vs American Samoa · 1987-12-15 · South Pacific Games
Biggest loss1–7 vs Hungary · 1924-04-06 · Friendly0–10 vs Malaysia · 2023-06-20 · Friendly
World Cups won40
Expected World Cups1.660.00

When they've met

Italy and Papua New Guinea have never played each other.