Head to head

Italy vs Panama

If they played today

Italy at home

57% / 23% / 20%

Italy win / draw / Panama win

Italy–Panama

1–0 11.3%
1–1 10.9%
2–0 10.2%
2–1 9.8%
0–0 6.3%

Neutral venue

49% / 25% / 26%

Italy win / draw / Panama win

Italy–Panama

1–1 11.8%
1–0 10.8%
2–1 9.5%
2–0 8.6%
0–1 7.4%

Panama at home

41% / 26% / 33%

Italy win / draw / Panama win

Italy–Panama

1–1 12.4%
1–0 10.1%
0–1 8.8%
2–1 8.7%
1–2 7.6%

Probabilities come from each team's current Elo rating, so they answer “if they met today” rather than predicting a scheduled fixture. See the methodology for how the model works and where it is weakest.

Elo since debut

Side by side

	Italy	Panama
Current Elo	1922	1770
Elo rank	19th	47th
Peak Elo	2140 (2021)	1891 (2025)
Matches played	893	542
All-time record	477W 243D 173L	183W 133D 226L
Goals for	1565	679
Goals against	876	826
Biggest win	10–0 vs United States · 1975-04-02 · Friendly	13–0 vs Anguilla · 2021-06-05 · FIFA World Cup qualification
Biggest loss	1–7 vs Hungary · 1924-04-06 · Friendly	0–11 vs Costa Rica · 1938-02-16 · Central American and Caribbean Games
World Cups won	4	0
Expected World Cups	1.66	0.01

When they've met

Italy and Panama have never played each other.