Head to head

Italy vs North Macedonia

If they played today

Italy at home

66% / 20% / 14%

Italy win / draw / North Macedonia win

Italy–North Macedonia

2–0 12.1%
1–0 11.8%
2–1 9.7%
1–1 9.5%
3–0 8.2%

Neutral venue

59% / 23% / 19%

Italy win / draw / North Macedonia win

Italy–North Macedonia

1–0 11.4%
1–1 10.7%
2–0 10.5%
2–1 9.9%
3–0 6.5%

North Macedonia at home

51% / 25% / 25%

Italy win / draw / North Macedonia win

Italy–North Macedonia

1–1 11.7%
1–0 10.9%
2–1 9.6%
2–0 8.9%
0–1 7.1%

Probabilities come from each team's current Elo rating, so they answer “if they met today” rather than predicting a scheduled fixture. See the methodology for how the model works and where it is weakest.

Elo since debut

Side by side

	Italy	North Macedonia
Current Elo	1922	1650
Elo rank	19th	79th
Peak Elo	2140 (2021)	1726 (2022)
Matches played	893	306
All-time record	477W 243D 173L	95W 80D 131L
Goals for	1565	365
Goals against	876	412
Biggest win	10–0 vs United States · 1975-04-02 · Friendly	11–1 vs Liechtenstein · 1996-11-09 · FIFA World Cup qualification
Biggest loss	1–7 vs Hungary · 1924-04-06 · Friendly	0–7 vs England · 2023-06-19 · UEFA Euro qualification
World Cups won	4	0
Expected World Cups	1.66	0.00
European Championships won	2	0
Expected European Championships	1.29	<0.01

When they've met

Meetings

Italy 2W 2D 1L

Goals

10–7

Italy first

First meeting

3–2

Italy won · 2016-10-09 · FIFA World Cup qualification

Most recent

5–2

Italy won · 2023-11-17 · UEFA Euro qualification

Italy's biggest win

5–2

2023-11-17 · UEFA Euro qualification

North Macedonia's biggest win

1–0

2022-03-24 · FIFA World Cup qualification

Most common result

1–1

Italy first · twice, last 2023-09-09

Current run

Unbeaten in 2

Italy · since 2023-09-09

5 meetings

Date	Score	Venue	Competition
2023-11-17	5–2	Italy home	UEFA Euro qualification
2023-09-09	1–1	North Macedonia home	UEFA Euro qualification
2022-03-24	0–1	Italy home	FIFA World Cup qualification
2017-10-06	1–1	Italy home	FIFA World Cup qualification
2016-10-09	3–2	North Macedonia home	FIFA World Cup qualification