Head to head

Italy vs North Korea

If they played today

Italy at home

77% / 16% / 8%

Italy win / draw / North Korea win

Italy–North Korea

2–0 14.5%
1–0 12.3%
3–0 11.4%
2–1 8.6%
1–1 7.3%

Neutral venue

70% / 18% / 11%

Italy win / draw / North Korea win

Italy–North Korea

2–0 13.0%
1–0 12.0%
2–1 9.5%
3–0 9.3%
1–1 8.8%

North Korea at home

63% / 21% / 16%

Italy win / draw / North Korea win

Italy–North Korea

1–0 11.7%
2–0 11.4%
1–1 10.1%
2–1 9.8%
3–0 7.4%

Probabilities come from each team's current Elo rating, so they answer “if they met today” rather than predicting a scheduled fixture. See the methodology for how the model works and where it is weakest.

Elo since debut

Side by side

	Italy	North Korea
Current Elo	1922	1494
Elo rank	19th	114th
Peak Elo	2140 (2021)	1779 (1980)
Matches played	893	390
All-time record	477W 243D 173L	162W 106D 122L
Goals for	1565	628
Goals against	876	435
Biggest win	10–0 vs United States · 1975-04-02 · Friendly	21–0 vs Guam · 2005-03-11 · EAFF Championship
Biggest loss	1–7 vs Hungary · 1924-04-06 · Friendly	0–7 vs Portugal · 2010-06-21 · FIFA World Cup
World Cups won	4	0
Expected World Cups	1.66	0.03

When they've met

Meetings

Italy 0W 0D 1L

Goals

0–1

Italy first

First meeting

0–1

North Korea won · 1966-07-19 · FIFA World Cup

Most recent

0–1

North Korea won · 1966-07-19 · FIFA World Cup

1 meeting

Date	Score	Venue	Competition
1966-07-19	0–1	Neutral	FIFA World Cup