Head to head

Italy vs Nigeria

If they played today

Italy at home

48% / 25% / 27%

Italy win / draw / Nigeria win

Italy–Nigeria

1–1 11.9%
1–0 10.7%
2–1 9.4%
2–0 8.4%
0–1 7.5%

Neutral venue

40% / 26% / 34%

Italy win / draw / Nigeria win

Italy–Nigeria

1–1 12.4%
1–0 10.0%
0–1 9.0%
2–1 8.6%
1–2 7.8%

Nigeria at home

32% / 26% / 42%

Italy win / draw / Nigeria win

Italy–Nigeria

1–1 12.4%
0–1 10.1%
1–2 8.8%
1–0 8.7%
2–1 7.5%

Probabilities come from each team's current Elo rating, so they answer “if they met today” rather than predicting a scheduled fixture. See the methodology for how the model works and where it is weakest.

Elo since debut

Side by side

	Italy	Nigeria
Current Elo	1922	1883
Elo rank	19th	26th
Peak Elo	2140 (2021)	1896 (2006)
Matches played	893	661
All-time record	477W 243D 173L	311W 192D 158L
Goals for	1565	1008
Goals against	876	662
Biggest win	10–0 vs United States · 1975-04-02 · Friendly	10–0 vs São Tomé and Príncipe · 2022-06-13 · African Cup of Nations qualification
Biggest loss	1–7 vs Hungary · 1924-04-06 · Friendly	0–7 vs Ghana · 1955-10-30 · Friendly
World Cups won	4	0
Expected World Cups	1.66	0.08

When they've met

Meetings

Italy 1W 1D 0L

Goals

4–3

Italy first

First meeting

2–1

Italy won · 1994-07-05 · FIFA World Cup

Most recent

2–2

Drawn · 2013-11-18 · Friendly

Italy's biggest win

2–1

1994-07-05 · FIFA World Cup

Nigeria's biggest win

—

Never beaten Italy

Current run

Unbeaten in 2

Italy · since 1994-07-05

2 meetings

Date	Score	Venue	Competition
2013-11-18	2–2	Neutral	Friendly
1994-07-05	2–1	Neutral	FIFA World Cup